Which M should I buy?

Pick what the car is for, your budget and how much repair risk you can live with. You get the three cars that fit best on that list, each with its cost to own a year and its chance of a big bill.

Your shortlist: first m, any budget, some risk

  1. BMW G82 M4

    1st of 15 on the first m list, likely 1st to 4th

    92Guide Score for 2021Exceptionalabout $2,780 a year to own
    Why it fits
    It scores 99 for this purpose, 1st of 15; its strongest parts are drive feel (81) and analog connection (74). Best year to buy: 2021.
    Cost to own
    About $2,780 a year ($1,832 to $4,614)
    Chance of a bill over $10,000 in five years
    under 0.1%
    Typical price
    About $78,798, the middle of 8 permitted prices ($68,499 to $92,490)
  2. BMW F87 M2

    2nd of 15 on the first m list, likely 1st to 7th

    92Guide Score for 2021Exceptionalabout $2,326 a year to own
    Why it fits
    It scores 99 for this purpose, 2nd of 15; its strongest parts are analog connection (90) and weight (80). Best year to buy: 2021.
    Cost to own
    About $2,326 a year ($1,546 to $3,734)
    Chance of a bill over $10,000 in five years
    1.8%
    Typical price
    About $55,495, the middle of 3 permitted prices ($50,500 to $59,900)
  3. BMW F82 M4

    3rd of 15 on the first m list, likely 1st to 13th, provisional

    88Guide Score for 2016Excellentabout $2,481 a year to own
    Why it fits
    It scores 99 for this purpose, 3rd of 15; its strongest parts are analog connection (95) and weight (82). Best year to buy: 2016.
    Cost to own
    About $2,481 a year ($1,573 to $4,135)
    Chance of a bill over $10,000 in five years
    3.1%
    Typical price
    About $56,419, the middle of 4 permitted prices ($46,900 to $61,900)

See the whole first m list

Where the prices come from

The typical price is the middle of the asking and sold prices we recorded from sources whose terms allow this use (bonhams.com, classiccars.com, driveway.com, enthusiastauto.com), read October 27, 2026 to October 28, 2026, with 11 auction results sold between 2015 and 2023. A car fits a budget when its typical price is at or under it. 43 of the 69 generations have 3 or more such prices; a car with fewer shows “no permitted price yet” and is left out once you set a budget. Asking prices sit above what cars sell for, so treat a car near your line as a stretch.

Each list is ordered by the Guide Score’s parts weighted for that purpose (method v5-final.14), so a car can lead a list with a lower overall Guide Score; the score shown beside each car is its overall one. It is an editorial score, built only from permitted, sourced data. The cost to own is for a car bought at five years old, or its own age if older, kept five years. How it works.